Tuesday, August 21, 2018

Partition is a civilisational wound on India. It's time we deal with it, by moving on...

Partition is a civilisational wound on India and till we don't acknowledge it, we are going to come to the wrong solution every time. I’ve come to the conclusion that there cannot be reconciliation with Pakistan as long as the Pakistan army is in control. You can’t beat them into submission or dismember them any further, a la 1971.

Pakistan is also unlikely to go to war with us. Nuclear Armed neighbours, MAD etc. It suits Pakistan to fight a low intensity war of attrition in Kashmir and other places if it can foment trouble. It’ll always be under the threshold of conflict

Pakistan’s strategic planners have done a fairly good job in setting and achieving their objectives

What are the solutions?

Foment trouble in different regions in Pakistan by large scale arms supply to secessionists and trouble makers of all hue. This includes small arms, hand held anti-aircraft and anti-tank missiles. This will, with a little luck, balkanise Pakistan. Giving Pakistan army to worry about something else than India. This may be happening on a small scale in a somewhat half hearted way. No reason, this can’t be stepped up to a more serious level.

Abrogate the Indus water treaty

Doing this, as far as Pakistan is concerned, is an act of war. So instead of taking the direct route, kill it in stages. First, utilise the entire extent our share of the rivers in the Indus Waters treaty. Channels, reservoirs, tanks. We are a water deficient country as it is. Set up giant water processing and bottling plants. Rail heads for water trains. This will have the added effect of satisfying the Right Wing’s fascination with large scale civil projects & keep the contractor nexus that funds the BJP happy.

As this infrastructure comes up, Pakistan will be howling away to glory. They can be ignored, as we are entitled to this under the treaty. Second stage is to siphoning off the tributaries to the rivers in Pakistan’s share of the treaty. This can’t be done in any seriously large scale though.
Build small dams where possible. At this stage Pakistan will start threatening to go nuclear (literally!). Blow hot and cold, cite flood control etc. Key objective of this civil engineering project is to be able to control the waters. Release at will for maximum leverage. Think of what happened in Kerala. There we were forced to open the dams due to excess flow. Here we can do so to inflict crop damage, precipitate, with a little luck, famine . This is serious leverage.

Build a wall

Finally, build a wall and forget about that country. We already have a fence. We need to make the fence higher, stronger and more multi-faceted. Cut off cultural contact, sports, trade. Stop flights, trains, buses. Diplomatic ties. Everything.

Anything living (human or animal) that crosses the border fence into India from the other side should be dealt with extreme prejudice.
This may seem drastic, but for the reasons outlined above seeking peace is a pointless exercise. It’s a pipedream as long as Pakistan army controls that country.

Ending vested interests

There will be some vested interests. They need to be addressed pro actively.

Families
There will always be families divided. Partition was 70 years ago. So come on. Sania Mirza has shown the way. Settle in the middle east.

Pilgrimage
Some pilgrimage for Sikhs will be affected. All pilgrimage should be routed through a third country, someplace far like the Central Asian Republics. Think of it as a tax. A small price to pay IMO. Ideally shut.

Cultural & Sports ties
There is no need for either of these ties with an enemy state. There are several multi-lateral for a this can happen. We don’t need anything more than this.

Sangh Brotherhood
Sangh Brotherhood has always had Akhand Bharat dreams. Has called Pakistan an estranged brother at various points. This is a convenient garb for imperialist ambitions. This puts paid to it.

Trade
This is the most corrosive of the lot. As long as there are business interests, they’ll always have a stake in trying to have some sort of normal relations.
Businesses should be forced to sell of all assets and interests in Pakistan. Possession or engagement directly with Pakistan or Pakistani interests should be declared as an act of treason. This includes multi nationals doing business in India. Anyone who wants to trade should have to trade through Dubai or some such. Driving up cost and hopefully making trade unviable.

How will a wall help?

If there is no contact, the Sangh Brotherhood’s use of Muslims in India as a bogey won’t hold water. It will infact direct anger outwards instead of inwards.

We don’t waste unnecessary resources trying to ‘engage’ with the other side.

Make no mistake, I’m not advocating going to war with Pakistan. Just cutting it off, as one would a gangrenous toe. It’s hawkish  in a passive, aggressive way. If you see what I mean.

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